Dele Momodu, a prominent chieftain of the African Democratic Congress (ADC), has predicted a tough 2027 presidential election for President Bola Tinubu, stating that the ADC’s candidate, Atiku Abubakar, is poised to emerge victorious. Speaking during an interview on Nevon Media with Oseni Rufai on Friday, Momodu expressed strong confidence in Atiku’s chances, citing his ability to dominate the northern region and compete effectively in the south. He emphasized that if Atiku can secure at least 25% of the votes in 26 states while maintaining a stronghold in the north, he will easily defeat both President Tinubu and Peter Obi.
Momodu highlighted the constitutional requirement for winning Nigeria’s presidential election: a candidate must secure the highest number of votes nationwide and also obtain at least 25% of the votes in two-thirds of the country’s 36 states. He argued that Atiku’s strategy of consolidating support in the northern states—where the majority of Nigeria’s voters reside—positions him to meet this threshold. “Atiku will win the majority of the North, and if he is able to compete favourably in the South, it will be over for President Tinubu and Peter Obi,” Momodu stated during the interview.
He further explained that Atiku’s success in the north, combined with a competitive performance in the south, would give him a decisive edge in the electoral race. Momodu’s prediction comes amid growing political speculation as Nigeria prepares for its next general election, with key figures like Tinubu and Obi expected to return to the political arena. In the 2023 presidential election, Tinubu won with approximately 37% of the vote, largely due to his strong base in the South-West and a broad distribution of support across other regions.
Momodu’s remarks underscore the shifting dynamics in Nigeria’s political landscape, where regional vote distribution continues to play a critical role in determining electoral outcomes. His analysis focuses on the importance of securing votes across diverse regions, not just in one or two strongholds. The ADC chieftain’s confidence in Atiku reflects a belief that the former vice president’s experience and national appeal could translate into electoral success.
As the 2027 election draws closer, political observers will be watching how candidates build coalitions and expand their reach beyond traditional strongholds. Momodu’s prediction adds to the growing narrative that the next presidential race may hinge on who can best navigate Nigeria’s complex regional voting patterns. The coming years will reveal whether Atiku can fulfill this ambitious electoral vision.


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